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Betting The Big 12

Beat The Bookie: Week 3 Picks

They say the third time’s the charm. Well, after the first two weeks, we certainly need it to be!

Flickr - Michael Koukoullis

Thank goodness for Zachary. Otherwise, this would be… well no, it is pretty much still is a dumpster fire. It is clear we’ve fallen for some offseason hype as our picks are about as bad as the Big 12 has played the first couple of weeks.

Week 2 Results

PLAYER

LAST WEEK

OVERALL

Zachary Reed 3-2-0 7-3-0
Robert Spradley 2-3-0 4-6-0
Cameron Jourdan 3-2-0 4-6-0
Derek Morton 2-3-0 3-7-0
Ryan Evans 2-3-0 3-7-0
Chris Ross 1-4-0 2-7-1
Guest: Kyle Porter 1-4-0

 

A rough start for sure, but not our first rough start. It’s hard to be dialed in right off the bat, and things are sure to improve as we learn more about each team. Let’s just move on, and try not to think about our losses.

This week, great friend of the LGG, Seth Jungman, founder of Staking The Plains, joins us as our guest picker! Hopefully, he can bring us some luck.

***** GUEST PICKER *****

Seth Jungman, Staking The Plains

Texas -7 (at California)
Ohio State -1 (at Oklahoma)
Iowa State +24.5 (at TCU)
Oklahoma State -4.5  (vs Pitt)
Michigan -19 (vs Colorado)

I’ll take the Longhorns in Berkley. The Cal defense has struggled and I’m not sure what Davis Webb will do under that Texas pressure. I really don’t want to pick Ohio State with those points in Norman, but I’m completely unsure as to which Oklahoma team will show up. The Sooners won’t face a more talented team the entire rest of the year (no disrespect to Houston). TCU’s defense has been the big question mark and I thought that they would dominant. TCU will win, but I like Iowa State to score some points and cover. I’m nervous as heck about taking Oklahoma State over Pitt because I think Pitt will play a defensive game, but I like the Cowboys to bounce back and in my non-Big 12 game, I’ll take Michigan over Colorado.

*****

Zachary Reed

Miami -3.5 (at Appalachian State)
Michigan -19 (vs Colorado)
Georgia -6.5 (at Missouri)
California +7 (vs Texas)
Ohio State -1 (at Oklahoma)

This is not an overreaction to the loss in Houston (which I picked), but going into the season I thought OU was overrated. Their defense lost too much to slow down elite offenses and Baker Mayfield lost his safety valve in Sterling Shepard, putting him in situations where he’s going to try to do too much. On the other hand, Ohio State is incredibly young, but they have an experienced quarterback and a more talented team. I know the game is in Norman, but give me Ohio State.

Cameron Jourdan

Alabama -11 (at Ole Miss)
Arizona State -20 (at UTSA)
UNLV +12.5 (at Central Mich)
Michigan -19 (vs Colorado)
Oklahoma +1 (vs Ohio State)

The Sooners have something to prove, and what better an opponent to do it against than Ohio State. Two great teams with great traditions. Two great coaches. Two great quarterbacks. A great atmosphere. This is the biggest game in Norman since Texas Tech in 2008. If Sooner fans can recreate that atmosphere and the Sooners don’t have sloppy 2nd half play, Norman will be a happy place come Sunday.

Derek Morton

Oklahoma +1 (vs Ohio State)
Georgia -6.5 (at Missouri)
Miami -3.5 (vs Appalachian state)
Michigan -19 (vs Colorado)
Oregon +3 (at Nebraska)

This is the biggest home game in Norman since Nebraska came to town in 2000, also it is the first time OU has been an underdog at home since that game. Baker Mayfield and Lincoln Riley will come out with a better understanding of what they want to do and not press trying to do too much. The defense, believe it or not, will show looks they haven’t shown yet this year although Houston was a big game the defense was very vanilla and rarely blitzed, I think Mike Stoops gets after JT Barrett early and often leading the Sooners to a huge victory.

Ryan Evans

Georgia -6.5 (at Missouri)
Arizona State -20 (at UTSA)
Miami -3.5 (at Appalachian State)
Texas Tech -10.5 (vs Louisiana Tech)
BYU +3 (vs. UCLA)

Despite falling by one to Utah in Salt Lake City, BYU is 2-0 against the spread, so I’m riding the Cougar train until they fail me. In front of what will surely be a rabid crowd for their home opener in Provo, I’ll take BYU in an upset bid against PAC-12 foe UCLA. Taysom Hill can’t throw 3 picks two weeks in a row, right? Also, Miami going to Appy State’s 24,000 seat stadium should make for the most compelling matchup the folks in Boone, N.C. have ever hosted. I’ll take Miami to cover, though, despite App State’s near upset of Tennessee in Knoxville. Finally, La Tech in Lubbock could be more interesting than Texas Tech fans would like to believe, given the Bulldogs’ performance against the Razorbacks in Fayetteville. Despite an embarrassing performance from the Red Raider defense last week, I’ll bet on Kingsbury’s offense to pull away late to cover the 10.5 point spread.

Chris Ross

Arizona State -20 (at UTSA)
Georgia -6.5 (at Missouri)
San Diego State -10.5 (at Northern Illinois)
Ohio State -1 (at Oklahoma)
Wisconsin -35 (vs Georgia State)

I want to believe in Oklahoma. The Big 12 needs them to live up to expectations. However, Ohio State is rolling, and despite a slow start against Tulsa, they still covered the spread. I’m not sure Baker Mayfield can settle down and play within the game. You have to love that he’s a baller, but that always-wanting-to-make-the-big-play attitude cost OU against Houston. Decision making was his downfall at Tech, and while it looked like he had put that behind him last year, OC Lincoln Riley said something interesting after the Houston game. He said that Mayfield wasn’t as familiar with the playbook a year ago, and relied on Riley on where to go with the pass. Now he’s got the playbook down, and the decisions are all his. I’m not sure he stay even keel and play within the offense. Worst case scenario is I lose another pick, but this way I won’t be too upset about it.

 

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