There are five Big 12 games this week, but since Kansas is playing FCS Missouri State, there are only four games to bet on. Here’s a look at this week’s lines. Let us know in the comments which side you like.
Friday, SEP 23
7:00PM – TCU at SMU | TCU -21
The battle of the Iron Skillet, a rivalry game. Right there, that should scream take SMU and the points. Ignore that SMU is just 2-14 in this game since 1999. This is a week night matchup under the lights, TCU doesn’t appear to be the same team from a year ago, SMU is 3-0 against the spread this year, and TCU is 0-3. Do I need to continue? Take SMU and the points.
Saturday, SEP 24
11:00AM – SAN JOSE ST at IOWA ST | ISU -6.5
Don’t look now, but Iowa State is favored to get their first win of the season. The Cyclone offense has struggled to get going, but that should change against the Spartans. San Jose is giving up 5.17 yards per play on the ground (116th) and over 9 yards per pass (122).
The line is tight, but at under 7, take the Cyclones and look for Matt Campbell to get his first win as Iowa State’s head coach. Because if not, he might have to wait until next season.
2:30PM – BYU vs WEST VIRGINIA | WVU -7
BYU has lost their last two games coming into this one, but it is by a combined four points. Every game the Cougars have been in this season has been close to the very end.
This in on neutral ground so there should be a good turnout for both sides. I like WVU to get the win, and part of me thinks that BYU could break if things look bleak early, given the back-to-back losses. However, if forced to bet on this one, it is a little concerning that the game opened up at WVU -1.5 before being bet up to a touchdown by the public. The safe bet is BYU and the points as they are 3-0 against the spread.
6:30PM – OKLAHOMA ST at BAYLOR | BU -8
This is a tough pick. The Bears are undefeated, but have yet to play anyone. They are also 0-3 against the spread. That’s a good sign for Oklahoma State fans, but this is their first test away from home this season, and so far things haven’t been perfect at home.
This game should come down to two things. Can OSU effectively throw on Baylor, and who will win the turnover battle?
The Bears are third in the nation in pass defense, but again, who have they played? Make no mistake, that secondary will get tested this week. The Cowboys are 9th in passing. It’s no secret that OSU will rely on the pass, but that isn’t stopping them from having success. Conversely, If you know where Oklahoma State’s rushing attack is, give coach Gundy a call. He’s been looking for it for a couple of years now.
My lean is Oklahoma State and the points. Seth Russell has given up three picks on the year, and Oklahoma State has already shown they are capable of taking the ball back as they are 21st in turnover margin.