We were a late touchdown by Texas Tech away from going 2-2 last week, but why would the college football gods be kind to us now?
If the pick is against your team, don’t worry, that’s probably a good thing for you at this point.
Oklahoma State at Kansas
Time: SAT, 11:00 am
Betting Line: OSU -23.5
The Cowboys are coming out of a bye week, and while there is some risk that they could have a hard time getting up to play Kansas after a week off, the Pokes aren’t good enough to overlook anyone.
Whatever fight the Jayhawks found against TCU, was taken out back, shot and buried by Baylor last week. Take Oklahoma State and lay the points.
Texas at Kansas State
Time: SAT, 11:00 am
Betting Line: KSU -2
The Longhorns got a much-needed bounce back win last week against Iowa State, but it was Iowa State. The Cyclones rank 90th in total offense and 110th in total defense. Beating up on the Cyclones is good for the ego, but the Longhorns will get a much tougher fight against the Wildcats.
Something is going to have to break in this one. Texas is running the ball 50 times a game and ranks 20th in rush offense. Meanwhile, Kansas State is 4th in the country in rush defense and is only allowing 3.01 yards per carry.
This should be a pretty evenly-matched game as the spread suggests, but give me K-State’s defense at home.
TCU at 12 West Virginia
Time: SAT, 2:30 pm
Betting Line: WVU -6
What am I missing? West Virginia, the undefeated Mountaineers, the team 12th in the nation in efficiency, is only favored by six at home against a struggling TCU squad?
Vegas seems to be in denial, but I think it’s time to accept that the Horned Frogs just aren’t who we thought they were. The Frogs are going to rely on the pass like they have all season, but they are going to find a Mountaineer secondary up to the task.
Like most defenses in the Big 12, WVU’s isn’t getting the respect is deserves at 90th in the nation. Opponents keep testing their secondary at over 40 pass attempts a game, but lost in the yards giving up is that WVU is only allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete just 52 percent of their passes.
That stat, and the fact that they’ve only giving up 6.24 yards per pass attempt is more inline with a top 15 pass defense.
Meanwhile, TCU’s defense isn’t nearly as good as we thought it might be. I like WVU to have a big day, and win comfortably. Take West Virginia.
16 Oklahoma at Texas Tech
Time: SAT, 7:00 pm
Betting Line: OU -14
Lubbock at night. The last time the Sooners traveled to West Texas to play under the lights, they left losers.
However, that is about to change. The Sooners have their magic back, and it shows in the numbers.
Texas Tech’s offense has been prolific, leaving little doubt that Patrick Mahomes is the best quarterback in the conference. The Red Raiders throw the ball 10 more times per game than anyone else in the conference, yet still maintain a 70.7% completion percentage. That’s incredible.
As good as that is though, Oklahoma may be doing it better. They aren’t putting up the yards the Red Raiders are, but OU is completing over 71% of their passes and average more yards per attempt.
Neither school can go around bragging about their pass defense, but with Patrick Mahomes not 100% healthy, give me the Sooners to cover and continue their surge.