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Betting The Big 12

Betting The Big 12: Week 12 Point Spreads & Picks

With a few key games, Week 12 is going to go a long way in deciding the Big 12. Here’s our picks for this weekend!

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K-State at Baylor

Kickoff: Sat, 11:00 am CT
Betting Line: BAY -2

Vegas knows Seth Russell has a busted ankle, right? They’ve seen Baylor play their last three games, right?

To make matter worse for the Bears, The Purple Wizard has benefitted from an extra weekend to prepare for the matchup.

This comment has come back to bite me in the past, but seriously, how is Baylor favored in this one?

Baylor is a mess. Seth Russell is out for the season and Shock Linwood has been sent to the bench as he’s struggled to produce this year. Furthermore, K-State is allowing just 3.63 yards per rush attempt, and the Wildcat defense is licking their chops at the thought of welcoming a freshman QB.

Give me the Wildcats

 

OK State at TCU

Kickoff: Sat, 11:00 am CT
Betting Line: TCU -5

Oklahoma State keeps winning, but they aren’t making it look easy. Three weeks ago, Kansas gave them a scare. Two weeks ago coach Bill Snyder let them off the hook. And last week, had Texas Tech simply made the extra point, they would have taken the Pokes to overtime.

It’s a dangerous game the “Cardiac Cowboys” are playing, and you have to wonder just how much longer their luck can hold out. Especially on the road against a team that’s had an extra week to prepare.

The last time we saw TCU they hung 62 on Baylor, but that’s been the only time all season we’ve seen the Horned Frogs we expected to see in the preseason. 2016 has largely been a disappointment defined by simply not playing up to expectations.

This one is hard to call. Kenny Hill may be the most hot and cold quarterback in the Big 12, and this game could likely go the way of his play. If he makes mistakes, Oklahoma State is a team that has proven they can capitalize.

However, for the last few years the offensive line has been the weak link for the Pokes, and TCU leads the Big 12 in sacks.

Furthermore, J.W. Walsh, who was quarterbacking OSU last season, is now employed by Gary Patterson. Just how much can OSU change their signals and tendencies in one season?

I’m surprised that TCU is favored, especially by 5, but give me the Horned Frogs as this line feels like a trap.

 

Texas Tech at Iowa St

Kickoff: Sat, 2:30 pm CT
Betting Line: TTU -4

With just two games left, the Red Raiders are two wins shy of bowl eligibility. If they don’t want their season to end next week, they have to win this week.

Iowa State isn’t the slouch they’ve been in season’s past, and that’s reflected in the spread. But, look for a fired up Patrick Mahomes to take over this game.

The Cyclone’s defense allows opposing quarterbacks to complete a higher percentage of passes than most defenses in the conference, and Mahomes is pretty good at carving up defenses.

Iowa State will find some success on the ground against Tech, but it won’t be enough in the end. Give me the Red Raiders giving the points.

 

Texas at Kansas

Kickoff: Sat, 2:30 pm CT
Betting Line: TEX -23

I don’t think the Longhorns will have an easy of a time as the experts think. After losing last week to West Virginia, which should put any hopes of Charlie Strong keeping his job at the end of the year to bed, I’m not sure how much fight the Horns have left.

Furthermore, this game is in Lawrence, and the Jayhawks have played much tougher at home than they have on the road. A big reason why is the KU defensive front. It’s the strength of this Jayhawk team, and while D’Onta Foreman is a beast worth of Doak Walker accolades, Kansas could slow him down just enough to keep this interesting.

Give me Kansas and the points.

 

Oklahoma at West Virginia

Kickoff: Sat, 7:00 pm CT
Betting Line: OU -3.5

 

On paper the Sooners should win. Oklahoma offense, behind Baker Mayfield, Samaje Perine, Joe Mixon and Dede Westbrook, is extremely potent, but the defense has been a concern all season. Meanwhile, defense is the strength of this Mountaineer team.

However Oklahoma’s weakness, the defense, has improved over recent weeks. The Sooners are actually holding opponents to fewer yards per rush attempt, while also keeping opponent quarterbacks to a lower completion percentage, than the Mountaineers.

However, this game will come down to more than what a piece of paper can tell you.

I have said three things for most of the season. One, that Baylor would lose their final six games. Two, WVU is the Big 12’s best team, but Oklahoma State would beat the Mountaineers. And three, The Big 12 would come down between WVU & OU with the Mountaineers getting the tie break in Morgantown.

So far, the Mountaineers are the Big 12’s only 1-loss team, and that loss, it came in Stillwater. Baylor is also 0-3 entering their final six games.

So why change anything now? Give me the Mountaineers. They’ve been disrespected all season by the national media, and I have a feeling that changes Saturday night.

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