Week 9 offers two Big 12 top 25 matchups, which means it’s going to be another great week of football. With possible upsets lurking, who’s going to cover the spread, and who’s going to keep things more interesting than the experts think? We’re making our picks against the spread!
Don’t like the picks? Don’t worry, if this season is any indication, you don’t have much to worry about. It’s those who I have picked that should worry.
LAST WEEK: 1-4
OVERALL RECORD: 17-23-1
Disclaimer: Before we get started, and I cannot stress this enough, take these picks at your own risk. I don’t take the easy way out with over and unders. All picks are against the spread. That said, I am probably wrong. I could say that you would be better off taking the opposite side of these picks, but I’d probably be wrong about that too.
Oklahoma State at West Virginia
PICK: OSU -7
The Mountaineers are 3-0 against the spread at home, and have the number one offense scoring offense in the country. However, what they don’t have is a defense. The Mountaineers rank 113 in total defense, 102 in pass yards per attempt, and 107 in opponent pass touchdowns. That’s a problem with the big play Cowboys coming to town. Give me OSU as Mason Rudolph and company slice up the Mountaineer secondary.
Texas at Baylor
PICK: UT -10
The Bears are winless, but you wouldn’t know it by watching them play some weeks. They held tough with Oklahoma and were a two-point conversion away from taking West Virginia to overtime. If you think this has me taking the Bears, think again. Their close games has created some value, while the Longhorns are 5-1-1 against the spread. Quarterback Sam Ehlinger out is of some concern as he brought a new wrinkle to the Texas offense, but Shane Buechele will do enough to get the job done.
Kansas State at Kansas
PICK: KSU -25
The Jayhawks haven’t scored a point since early October. They’ve given up 153 points in the last three games alone. They are 1-6…against the spread. The Jayhawks are bad, and in a rivalry game, don’t expect the Wildcats to show much mercy. This hasn’t been the season Kansas State was hoping for, and look for them to take their frustrations out on KU.
TCU at Iowa State
PICK: ISU +7
I’ve said all week that I have a feeling about Iowa State in this one. TCU is the statistically clear favorite, but throw the stats out the window. The Cyclones have nothing to lose in this game, and any time a good team gets to play with nothing to lose, look out. And Iowa State is a good team, and this wouldn’t be the first time national championship aspirations have stumbled in Ames. If you need a stat though, Iowa State is 6-1 against the spread. Though, TCU is 3-0 against the spread on the road, so…
Texas Tech at Oklahoma
PICK: Texas Tech +20.5
The Sooners are 6-1 and a favorite to make it to the Big 12 Championship game. So they’ll roll over a Texas Tech team that just got embarrassed by Iowa State at home, right? As Lee Corso would say, not so fast my friend. Look for the Red Raiders to respond, while Oklahoma is hiding a dirty little secret. They are just 3-4 against the spread. A part of that is because they are losing the turnover battle. If the Red Raiders newfound defense can force a couple of turnovers, they’ll keep things respectable.