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Betting The Big 12

Betting The Big 12, An Early Look At Week 3’s Lines

Looking at how Vegas feels about the Big 12 heading into week three.



The Mirage Resort Race and Sports Book in Las Vegas - Las Vegas News Bureau
Photo Credit - Las Vegas News Bureau

Last week didn’t exactly go according to plan. The Big 12 has a big chance to redeem themselves in week three, though. Wins by Texas, Oklahoma, and Oklahoma State will go a long way for the season’s outlook. Can they win those games though, let’s look at how Vegas is feeling about this week’s slate.

21 Baylor at Rice | BU -31

The Owls are 0-2 and about to be 0-3. Over thirty points is a lot to lay, but the Bears have come out surprisingly focused considering all their off-the-field issues.  I’d lean towards taking Baylor.

Iowa State at TCU | TCU -24

What is going on with TCU? Their defense looks like a shell of its former self, and has given up 41 points in consecutive games. Not great. As bad as things have started in Fort Worth, it could be worse. Just ask Iowa State. Matt Campbell brought renewed energy to Ames, but the Cyclones have quickly been reminded that it’s not easy to turn a program around.

I would almost take the points considering the Horned Frogs defensive woes, but I’m not sure the Cyclones can take advantage. I like Patterson and company to bounce back. Give me the Frogs.

FAU at Kansas State | K-State -22

K-State has yet to win a game, but that’s because they opened on the road against Stanford and haven’t played since. Meanwhile the Owls just lost by 28 to Miami. It looks like Vegas has forgotten all about the purple wizard, and I like the Wildcats in this one. Especially, after they’ve rested a week.

LA Tech at Texas Tech | TTU -10.5

Considering the talent the Red Raiders have, this line should be laughable, but it’s not. What is laughable is the Red Raiders defense. What happened against Arizona State?

I’m going to give Texas Tech a chance to redeem themselves. This is a game they should win by a couple of touchdowns. So I’ll lay the 10.5, but I don’t feel great about it.

Pittsburgh at Oklahoma State | OSU -6

Lost in chaos of the final play that shouldn’t have been, is that the Pokes looked terrible against Central Michigan. Mason Rudolph is under the impression his receivers are three feet taller than they actually are, and the defense, despite their moments, didn’t look great either. Especially in coverage.

CMU is better than the average directional school with an NFL caliber quarterback, and they were able to expose Oklahoma State. Pitt will be an equally tough test, and while the Cowboy offense will continue to struggle against a stout d-line, Pitt doesn’t have the QB to pull the upset. Look for OSU to get the win by a touchdown, but not answer very many questions in doing it.

Kansas at Memphis | Mem -20.5

Memphis would like to show the Big 12 that they belong, but beating up on the Jayhawks isn’t going to raise any eyebrows. At least enough to get them back into the expansion conversation.

The Jayhawks might not win another game, but I like that they didn’t just roll over for Ohio either. I like KU to keep it within three touchdowns. Take the Jayhawks.

Ohio State at Oklahoma | OSU -2

The Sooners haven’t been an underdog at home since Nebraska came to Norman in the year 2000. That’s an incredible stat, but that’s not to say teams haven’t had success there. In 2012, K-State and Notre Dame defeated the Sooners at Oklahoma Memorial. In 2014 Kansas State did it again, along with Baylor and Oklahoma State.

Notice a pattern? It’s 2016 and Oklahoma has already struggled to live up to expectations. Something they’ve built an unwanted reputation for. They have a chance to put those fears to bed with a big win over the Buckeyes, and coach Stoops’ teams seem to play with a chip on their shoulder when everyone counts them out, but I just wouldn’t bet on it.

Texas at California | UT -8

Are the Longhorns the best team in the Big 12? What is going on? They certainly have the best resume so far, and on Saturday, I expect it to get better.

When the Longhorns get to Berkeley, they will find a familiar face waiting for them on the opposing sidelines. Former Texas Tech QB David Webb has picked up where Jared Goff left off, and the Cal offense is humming.

“You’re taking a young team into a hostile environment,” Strong said about the matchup. “There are certain things as a team that you have to pack. You’ve got to pack your defense. We can take the crowd out of the game if we can play great defense.”

Defensively, cal has a lot of questions as most of last year’s leaders are gone. SDSU found success against the Bears defense, and I like that pattern to continue. Texas repays the Bears the favor for the narrow home loss last season, I’m just not sure it will be by two scores. Take Cal to cover the spread.