Texas Tech and TCU square off for the 59th time in the matchup’s history on Saturday in Fort Worth. This in-state showdown should be a good one. Texas Tech leads the all-time series 30-25-3, but TCU has managed to win the last two years, which includes an 82-point beat down in 2014. However, the Red Raiders gave the Frogs a fight last season in a while 55-52 shootout.
Texas Tech is desperately looking for a win against the Horned Frogs, but both teams enter this week looking for a win as the season has been fairly disappointing for them both.
Aaron Green is no longer on the team to spoil Texas Tech’s day, but TCU does have some offensive weapons that could shine against Texas Tech’s defense. Texas Tech’s defense is ranked 122 out of 128 teams in total defense this year so far which does not fair well in any situation.
Texas Tech’s defense is not the only factor with this game, though. TCU has to find a way to stop Tech’s quarterback, Patrick Mahomes. Mahomes managed to break the NCAA record for total yards in their 66-59 loss to Oklahoma last week with 819 total yards. Now the Sooners do not have a solid defensive team, but this only shows how good a quarterback Patrick Mahomes really is.
Date/Time: Saturday, October 29, 2:30 CST
Where: Amon G. Carter Stadium (Fort Worth, Texas)
Forecast: Sunny and clear skies, winds up to 14 mph and a high of 88°F
Betting Line: TCU -9.5, O/U 86.5
TCU Horned Frogs (4-3, 2-2)
TCU is coming off a 34-10 loss to West Virginia, where the Horned Frogs offense struggled mightily. Quarterback Kenny Hill managed only 148 yards and one touchdown in Morgantown. Despite the tough game last week, Kenny Hill is still second in total offense in the Big 12 so far this year. The only problem is that number one in total offense for the Big 12 is Patrick Mahomes.
TCU got beaten pretty good last week in a game where nothing was clicking. In a disappointing season so far this year, TCU has managed to lose two out of four conference games with their only wins coming against Kansas and Iowa State, the 9th and 10th place teams in the conference.
Keys to the Game for TCU
Get The Offense On Track – Texas Tech is last in the Big 12 in total defense, so TCU needs to capitalize on the weak Red Raider defense. TCU needs to get their points because it is not easy to stop the Red Raider offense.
Be Smart with the Football – TCU cannot be careless with the football and give the ball back to the Red Raider offense. Put the Red Raiders in scoring position can give them the momentum really quick.
Force Turnovers – Patrick Mahomes threw 88 times in last week’s game against the Sooners. If Mahomes should have another huge workload the Horned Frogs defense has to try to steal the ball away from the offense a couple of times to give their offense a chance to take/extend the lead.
Texas Tech Red Raiders (3-4, 1-3)
Texas Tech is in a must win situation, while their remaining schedule only involves one more true home game. Tech needs three more wins on the year to become bowl eligible and TCU would be a big win for Kliff Kingsbury and company.
The Red Raiders are hungry after their loss to the Horned frogs last year and we should see some fire in their play.
Keys to the Game for Texas Tech
Special Team Play – If Tech can hold it together on special teams and not allow any long returns, the defense is more likely to get a stop.
Offense Does Their Thing – We saw a slip up in the Red Raider offense when they played West Virginia two weeks ago. That can’t happen in this one. Tech’s defense is not reliable, so the offense needs to be as good as they can be for Tech to win any game this season.
Defense Limits Big Plays – I couldn’t tell you how many big plays the Tech defense gave up to Oklahoma last week. Offense-wise, TCU is not on Oklahoma’s level, but they are still capable of big plays and scoring many points, so if the defense can make them work for those points and give the Tech offense enough time to rest, the Red Raiders are in good shape.
This one will be an offensive showcase, like most games these teams play, with Tech not getting the stops they need in crunch time. It will come down to the wire, but ultimately we can expect a fun game with limited defensive performance. Behind their home crowd and a solid performance from Kenny Hill, TCU takes this one by 7 with the point total reaching 100 or more.