Iowa State has found their offense against Big 12 opponents the last two weeks, pulling off decisive wins against TCU and on the road against West Virginia. The Cyclones are starting to look like the team we all expected heading into 2019 and it is indeed “Brocktober.”
Texas Tech is coming off of two much-improved games but suffered an emotional double-overtime loss last week at Baylor. The defense under Keith Patterson looks to be gaining confidence and forcing turnovers. Jett Duffey is also settling in behind center in Yost’s offense.
Historically, until the Matt Campbell era, Texas Tech had dominated this matchup with an overall record of 11-3. Since Campbell joined ISU in 2015, Iowa State has won three straight games including a 66-10 beatdown in 2015.
This game has some big implications for both teams, Iowa State is still trying to show the conference they can contend for a title, and a win for the Red Raiders would leave them in pretty good shape to make a bowl game.
- When: SAT, OCT 19, 11:00am CT
- Where: Jones AT&T Stadium, Lubbock, Tx
- Forecast: Sunny, 70°
- TV/Stream: Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports Go
- Betting Line: ISU -7, O/U 57
Iowa State Cyclones
BY COLTON WOOD
Last week, the Cyclones were able to keep the October streak alive, or, as the Iowa State faithful love to call it, Brocktober. The Cyclones are now 9-0 in October since 2017. The streak started back with Iowa State’s coming out party against the #3 Oklahoma Sooners. The phenomenon has done nothing but take off since then.
Coming into this game, Matt Campbell is unbeaten against the Red Raiders since he came to Iowa State in 2016. Texas Tech is the only other team in this category besides the Kansas Jayhawks. Campbell will attempt to keep this streak and the October streak alive as he takes his Cyclones into Lubbock, TX as seven-point favorites.
Iowa State may have dominated Texas Tech while they were under Kliff Kingsbury, but there’s a new sheriff in town, and he’s shown the ability to beat teams that should be better than his own. Two weeks ago, the Red Raiders were able to knock off an Oklahoma State team that looked as if they may be one of the many teams battling for that spot in the Big 12 Championship Game. Last week, they almost pulled off the win against a ranked Baylor team in a game that included a controversial call.
KEYS TO THE GAME FOR THE CYCLONES
Get To The QB: In the last two games, Jett Duffey was sacked. A lot. Against the Cowboys, he was sacked 7 times, and against the Bears, he was sacked 5 times. Getting to the quarterback is something that the Cyclones have struggled with more than they were expected to. If they can get it going this game, they may be able to keep it rolling through the rest of the season.
Use Hall: Against West Virginia, it seemed as though Iowa State may have finally found their go-to running back. True freshman, Breece Hall, played in his fifth game of the season, burning his redshirt. The fan base soon saw why as Hall rushed 26 times for 132 yards and 3 touchdowns. Expect to see a lot of this kid in Lubbock, this week.
Distribute The Ball: The Iowa State offense is better when they distribute the ball between their wide receivers and tight ends. It makes the offense less predictable and gives them more options. Last year, the offense was pretty predictable. The ball was most likely going to Montgomery or Butler. This year, defenders have no particular player to key in on, besides Brock Purdy. With all of these great options to throw to, it gives Purdy a better chance of finding an open receiver he trusts.
The Cyclones are on a roll, just as they have been in Octobers before. I expect this to continue as they roll right into Lubbock. I think the attention to the new running threat, Breece Hall, will open up more in the passing game for Purdy. Along with that, I believe Iowa State will be able to get to Jett Duffey and get a few sacks. Brocktober rolls on, and so do the Cyclones. Final Score: ISU 40-24
Texas Tech Red Raiders
BY EVAN GREEN
We are six days removed from the Texas Tech game in Waco, and my social media is still filled with reactions and discussions around the officiating. If the players and coaches’ minds are still lingering on the Baylor game, we will find out very quickly and it won’t be pretty. Matt Wells will have another week to prove he has improved this team’s discipline, as this is a spot previous Tech teams would come out flat.
For this team to compete down to the wire with a second ranked opponent in as many weeks, Texas Tech fans have to feel good about where the team sits now (especially after how things looked after OU).
In a Big 12 that is still trying to figure itself out from spots 2-9, Iowa State is coming off two decisive wins. The Texas Tech defense has found success bringing pressure and forcing quarterbacks into errant throws. Brock Purdy is an experienced quarterback who doesn’t make many mistakes for the Cyclones, if the Red Raiders can get to him and force turnovers as they have in the past two games, it will go a long way to show this Patterson defense is not just a flash in the pan.
TEXAS TECH KEYS TO THE GAME
Win the Turnover Battle – This has been the key to being in the last two games. Stealing possessions for Duffey and putting the offense in favorable field position will keep the Red Raiders competitive.
Score Early – The offense needs to reward the defense by keeping them off the field and putting up points. If the defense can get stops and turnovers, the offense can demoralize the opponent by taking advantage and getting ahead early. Nothing keeps a team in the game than being down one score after multiple turnovers.
Capitalize inside the 25 – Last week Tech could have avoided OT entirely if they would have been able to capitalize inside the opponents 25. Turnovers, including turnovers on downs, cannot happen against Big 12 opponents. Every score matters in conference play and taking even three points when you can get them could change the outcome of the game.
Matt Campbell has had Tech’s number since he joined the Cyclones, and I don’t think that changes this season. Iowa State went from being a Big 12 title contender to now being overlooked by many. I still think this is a team that will finish toward the top of the conference. I think Tech will force a turnover or two and keep the game close, but Purdy stays poised and is a possession or two too much for the Red Raiders.