TCU has had an up and down season so far in 2019. High points of defeating Texas and low points of losing to SMU. Sitting at 4-4 they are looking to get closer to bowl eligibility. Last week TCU played a tough game against #23 Oklahoma State, but it wasn’t enough to get a win.
The quarterback situation is very concerning, to say the least. Max Duggan, who has taken over starting role, appeared to have injured his middle finger on his throwing hand which is less than ideal. Backup Alex Delton has left the team according to Gary Patterson and Michael Collins is out due to injury late in the game last week. Justin Rogers has entered the transfer portal and Ohio State transfer Matthew Baldwin was only recently cleared to practice.
This week TCU will welcome in 8-0 and Big 12 leading Baylor to Amon Carter stadium. Baylor is coming off of a close win over West Virginia and has some issues of their own to worry about.
But this game is a rivalry game and as they say, in rivalry games you throw out the records. Baylor is 8-0 and TCU is 4-4 but the Horned Frogs always get up for Baylor. Last year a reeling TCU team shut down the Baylor offense and came out with a win by only scoring 16 points.
- When: Sat, Nov 9, 11:00 AM CT
- Where: Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, Texas
- Weather: Mostly Sunny, High of 67°F
- TV: FS1
- Stream: FOX Sports GO
- Line: Baylor -2.5, O/U 48
12 Baylor Bears (8-0)
Baylor is coming off of a less than stellar performance against West Virginia. The Bears escaped with a 17-14 win over a struggling Mountaineer team. Statistically, Baylor looked like they should have run away with the win amassing 453 yards of total offense. However, Baylor was not able to turn those plays and yards into points.
Charlie Brewer was efficient in the game going 20 for 26 with 277 yards and two touchdowns. Brewer also was sacked eight times and some of those were on him and his reluctance to throw the ball away. But make no mistake the Baylor offensive line was definitely a liability against West Virginia.
Defensively the Bears were lights out holding West Virginia to only 26 yards rushing on 14 carries. While the Mountaineers do struggle on offense the Baylor defense made them look more inept than usual. Terrel Bernard led the team with 10 total tackles and 1.5 tackles for loss.
This season Baylor has looked particularly bad coming off of bye weeks. Earlier in the season, Baylor squeaked by Rice 21-13 coming off of a bye. They looked much better the following week defeating Iowa State. Later in the season, they had a slow start against Texas Texas Tech and followed that with an 18 victory over now 23rd ranked Oklahoma State.
Baylor Keys To The Game
Shore up offensive line issues – The Baylor offensive line should be better against TCU than they were on Thursday. Xavier Newman came in late in the game and the line appeared to have a better outcome. Also going in the Bears favor is the return of Connor Galvin. Galvin has missed several weeks due to knee injury but is listed on two-deep and should be available if needed.
Red zone efficiency– Baylor had to turn scoring opportunities into touchdowns and not settle for field goals. Baylor is entering the real part of the season and it starts this week against a rival in TCU. If Baylor wants to compete for championships than it has to score touchdowns in the redzone.
Defense staying consistent – The most consistent thing about this Baylor team has been its defense. Even in games when they didn’t play their best they made plays when it mattered most. If Baylor wants to defeat TCU or anyone else it is going to have to keep this consistency going.
TCU Horned Frogs (4-4)
TCU is coming off of a tough loss in Stillwater against Oklahoma State. This loss turned out to be costly as well. Quarterbacks Max Duggan and Michael Collins were both injured. Collins is ruled out and Duggan is expected to play. Backup quarterback Alex Delton has left the team. If Duggan is not able to go the reigns would be handed to walkon, Matthew Downing.
TCU will have to establish the run with both Darius Anderson and Sewo Olonilua. If Duggan is not able to be effective then the Horned Frogs will have to get some level of success on the ground. Baylor has been good in run defense this year but TCU has to continue to run the ball against the Bears.
By far the best player on the team is wide receiver, Jalen Reagor. TCU will have to be inventive offensively and get Reagor involved in the offensive in any way possible. That means in running game or even wild cat quarterback formations whatever it takes to generate offense.
TCU Keys To The Game
Stop the run – historically TCU has been very successful stopping the run when playing Baylor. That trend needs to continue to force Baylor into passing situations.
Put pressure on Charlie Brewer – Baylor gave up 8 sacks last week against West Virginia and TCU will need to try and reproduce that to have a chance to affect the Baylor offense and especially the passing game.
Heavy doses of Reagor – Last year Jalen Reagor was the whole TCU offense. He is the best player on the team and for TCU to be successful on the offensive side they have to use Reagor. TCU defeated Baylor 16-9 last year and bother touchdowns were the result of athletic plays by Jalen Reagor.
Matt’s Game Prediction
I believe Baylor will play a better game than they did against WVU and will be able to put up points on a stout TCU defense. The Baylor offensive line will play a much better game with Newman in starting a role from the beginning. The Bears will establish a run game and this will open up the passing game for Brewer and his dynamic receivers. When its all said and done Baylor will come out with a victory and set up a huge game next week against Oklahoma in Waco.