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2021 Season

TCU Is A 10-Point Favorite In The Battle For The Iron Skillet

Which side are you betting on?



TCU Horned Frogs Jalen Reagor is chased by Southern Methodist Mustangs Robert Hayes Jr - Getty Images - Icon Sportswire
Getty Images - Icon Sportswire

The Battle for the Iron Skillet is one of those rivalries that makes college football great, and this year marks the 100th time the game will have been played. The Horned Frogs have won eight of the last ten meetings, but the skillet belongs to SMU after a 41-38 win in 2019. The rivalry game was cancelled in 2020 due to Covid-19, so the Horned Frogs have had to wait two long years for retribution. TCU gets SMU at home this year, and is a 10-point favorite to get the cast iron hardware back.

Historically, when TCU wins, it has not been that close. SMU got the narrow win in 2019, but the average margin of victory for the Frogs is 30 points in the five meetings previous. History says, if TCU wins, they should have no problem covering a 10-point spread.

History is well and good, but what about this season? TCU is 2-0 after edging out a 34-32 win over California two weeks ago. A bye week last week should see the Frogs well rested and prepared for this matchup. SMU, on the other hand, is coming off a Hail Mary win against Louisiana Tech, and will have to rebound quickly after the emotional win.

The SMU offense is going to be a test for TCU. Tanner Mordecai’s late TD pass is a microcosm of his season so far. The Oklahoma transfer has already racked up over 1,000 yards and 16 touchdowns. That could be a problem for the 49th-ranked pass defense.

SMU has an explosive offense, but the difference will be the TCU offense against a porous SMU defense.

So which side are you on? Will TCU cover the 10 points? They haven’t covered a spread yet at 0-1-1. Or do the Mustangs, at 2-1 against the spread, give the Horned Frogs problems?

The Bullet Points

  • TCU has won 8 of the last 10 meetings, but SMU won the last matchup in 2019, 41-38.
  • Former OU QB Tanner Mordecai has over 1,000 yards on the season and 16 touchdowns
  • SMU is 12th in passing offense, TCU 49th in pass defense
  • TCU’s average win margin the five games previous is 30 points.
  • TCU is 0-1-1 ATS
  • SMU is 2-1 ATS