The Longhorns opened as a 10-point favorite, but it has been tightening up through the week as most of the action is on the Red Raiders. Texas Tech has is down to just a 7.5-point underdog.
The Raiders have out-performed their season expectations so far. They opened with an impressive win over Houston, and are currently 3-0. However, they are 2-1 against the spread after struggling against Stephen F Austin in week two.
The Longhorns are going in the opposite direction. After starting the season ranked, Texas is outside of the top 25 following a big loss to Arkansas in week two. That loss saw a QB change, and they rebounded with a solid win over Rice behind Casey Thompson under center. The Longhorns are also 2-1 against the spread this season.
Saturday is going to tell us a lot more about both teams. Specifically, how far each quarterback can take their team.
The Oregon transfer showed his potential against Houston, and finished with 399 yards and four touchdowns last week against FIU. But a questionable performance by Tyler Shough in week two led to a much closer game against Stephen F Austin than it should have been. The Texas front seven is no joke, either. Texas Tech could find yards on the ground hard to come by, putting more of the burden on Shough.
For Texas, Casey Thompson was serviceable against Rice, by completing 15 of his 18 passes for 164 yards and two touchdowns, but he did throw a pick. Not to mention, he wasn’t the starting quarterback just two weeks ago.
Which quarterback steps up to the competition could decide this one. Texas has won the last three by an average scoring margin of 13 points. Which side are you on?
The Bullet Points
- Both are 2-1 Against the spread
- Texas is 2-0 ATS at home
- Texas has won the last 3 meetings with an average margin of victory of 13 points.