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2021 Season

Iowa State is a Touchdown Favorite At Baylor

Will Iowa State cover? Or will Baylor keep rolling? Which side are you on?

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Iowa State Cyclones wide receiver Trever Ryen moves the ball down field against the Baylor Bears - Getty Images - Icon Sportswire
Getty Images - Icon Sportswire

Saturday will be just the 20th time Baylor and Iowa State have met on the gridiron, and the Bears have the slight lead in the series at 10-9. However, Iowa State has won three of the last five, including last year’s 38-31 matchup.

The Cyclones are favored to win by a touchdown again this year, but does Vegas have it right?

Expectations were not high for the Bears this season, but after a sluggish start by barely beating Texas State in week one, Baylor is 3-0 with decided victories over Texas Southern and Kansas the last two weeks.

Quarterback Gerry Bohanon is flying under the radar as one of the better quarterbacks in the conference, too. He is completing 72 percent of his passes and has five touchdowns. More importantly, he is taking care of the ball with zero interceptions on the year.

For Iowa State, it’s almost the opposite. Expectations have never been higher in Ames, but it has been a rocky start to the season for the 14th-ranked team; highlighted by yet another disappointing loss to Iowa. It has also been a rough start for veteran quarterback Brock Purdy. He’s completing over 70 percent of his passes, but has just as many interceptions as touchdowns, at three a piece.

Now, it’s important to remember that the level of competition each has faced to this point is vastly different. Baylor has not played anyone close to Iowa State’s level. Can Bohanon keep up his level of play against a defense that allowed just 94 passing yards last week? This game is going to tell us a lot about both teams.

For whatever it’s worth, The Twitter vote went 7-1 last week, and this is the game Twitter was the most confident in this week, by picking Iowa State with 79 percent of the vote. Which side are you on? Give us your thoughts on Twitter @the_LGG.

The Bullet Points

  • Iowa State has won 3 of the last 5 against Baylor.
  • Average MOV in those wins is 10.3 points
  • ISU is just 1-2 ATS, but 1-0 on the road
  • Baylor is 2-1 ATS and 1-0 at home